Of course it's not obscene, but I don't think *anything* should be "expected". You have a VERY SMALL chance of winning loot, which means you have a VERY GOOD chance of walking away with nothing but bags and VP.
A 15% chance of loot per boss, and then the coin's chance (I've never really looked, but assume it's less or the same as the initial chance) is not a small chance when you clear an entire tier of LFR content. With 6 bosses (or 9 in total for both weeks) I wouldn't say there is a small chance of walking out with loot either. I would say there's a good chance for either one to happen. For me, I got a staff from Horridon first week, but it wasn't an upgrade. And this week I ran Both and walked out with all bags/gold with two coins used (wtb meg trinket).
When I say I expect to get an upgrade I basically mean odds are in my favor that I will get something I need. Not that I'm going to rage at Blizzard, or create a thread about it if I don't. And that's what I meant when the tier is fresh, and upgrades are abundant. When the last chunk of ToT is out for LFR and I run the entire thing for the week I'm going to expect to walk out of it with something I needed because almost all the items there is something I can use. Of course it may not happen, but I still expect it to happen because that it would be unlikely to not walk out with something.
If you have an issue with this, I strongly encourage you to try your luck at normal raiding where you can at least see your fellow raiders get upgrades that may benefit you in some way.
Actually I do normal raids. In fact, I did heroic raiding in T14 on my old main. I'm taking a break from srs bsness hardkore PvE so I'm only 2/12 in ToT, and this guy only saw like 13/16 normal. The reason I still have some LFR pieces is because RNG really took a dump on me on specific bosses >.>
So while you're VERY likely to get an item, it certainly wouldn't be "very rare" (especially when you factor in duplicates or already upgraded slots)
Well, I did say you should walk out with an item. We've all gotten duplicate things from LFR, or watch the same crap keep dropping in normal/heroic.
I ran icc for truama the WHOLE tier and never go it. First time i ever did UP in wrath i got the blue proto drake. RNG is a fickle mistress.
Hah, I was a resto shaman in ICC. The heroic version was so baller (and arguably BiS over legendary), but I had to turn off my healing numbers because it was literally killing my FPS.